In my experience doing steward-related work: if it's still relatively early in the day and there's plenty of time for someone to rectify the shortcomings in their preparedness (go get a map, headlamp, food, water, etc.) and then still do a hike, it's fairly easy to get unprepared hikers turned around at or near the trailhead. To that end, I think stops in the towns (Keene/Keene Valley) make sense even if only for this reason alone- hikers can stop at Stewart's, Valley Grocery, and the Mountaineer to obtain missing essentials.
Later in the day is more of a challenge- while folks are usually willing to modify their plans somewhat, they are far less willing to abandon them entirely. But those steward interactions are still important- hopefully hikers will be better prepared the next time as a result.
One possible effect of the shuttle buses that I haven't seen anyone mention: I think it will have some moderate impact on the itineraries that hikers select. In particular, I think we'll start to see some number of hikers using the shuttle to undertake thru-trips, where they end at a different trailhead than the one they started at. There's already been some discussion about this on Reddit, with folks looking at the planned shuttle routes and seeing how they can use the shuttles to their advantage to plan thru-hikes with separate start and end points.
To be clear- I don't think that this is inherently a bad thing, especially as it could work to spread hikers out more and alleviate crowding conditions somewhat. However, I do think that some trails that currently see relatively low levels of use (and correspondingly low levels of maintenance) are likely to see increased used with the introduction of the shuttles- and also see increased impacts overall. Given that that impact as a function of level of use tends to follow a logarithmic curve (where each additional unit of use results adds a decreasing amount of additional impact to the total), there is potential here for the overall level of physical impacts in the High Peaks to increase as a result.
I also don't necessarily think that these impacts will be huge (or even necessarily all that consequential) but I'm nevertheless hopeful that some foresight can be given towards altering current trail maintenance patterns towards proactively addressing the likely changes in use patterns that result from shuttle service.
Later in the day is more of a challenge- while folks are usually willing to modify their plans somewhat, they are far less willing to abandon them entirely. But those steward interactions are still important- hopefully hikers will be better prepared the next time as a result.
One possible effect of the shuttle buses that I haven't seen anyone mention: I think it will have some moderate impact on the itineraries that hikers select. In particular, I think we'll start to see some number of hikers using the shuttle to undertake thru-trips, where they end at a different trailhead than the one they started at. There's already been some discussion about this on Reddit, with folks looking at the planned shuttle routes and seeing how they can use the shuttles to their advantage to plan thru-hikes with separate start and end points.
To be clear- I don't think that this is inherently a bad thing, especially as it could work to spread hikers out more and alleviate crowding conditions somewhat. However, I do think that some trails that currently see relatively low levels of use (and correspondingly low levels of maintenance) are likely to see increased used with the introduction of the shuttles- and also see increased impacts overall. Given that that impact as a function of level of use tends to follow a logarithmic curve (where each additional unit of use results adds a decreasing amount of additional impact to the total), there is potential here for the overall level of physical impacts in the High Peaks to increase as a result.
I also don't necessarily think that these impacts will be huge (or even necessarily all that consequential) but I'm nevertheless hopeful that some foresight can be given towards altering current trail maintenance patterns towards proactively addressing the likely changes in use patterns that result from shuttle service.
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